1st IMS-ISBA joint Statistical Meeting 

Topics, invited talks and schedule 

Last Update: July 18, 2003

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1. Topics list and Invited Speakers



Invited Speakers (Tentative)

Causal-Graphical Modeling

Steffen Lauritzen


Vanessa Didelez (University College London)

Michael Eichler (U. Chicago)

Juni Palmgren (Stockholm University and Karolinska Institutet)

Peter Spirtes (Dept. of Philosophy, CMU)

Stephen Fienberg (Carnegie-Mellon University)

Edward J. Vytlacil (Stanford)

Joe Whittaker (Lancaster, UK)

Mathias Drton(Washington)

Spatial Statistics

Peter Green


Susie Bayarri (Valencia, Spain)

Adrian Baddeley (Perth)

Brad Carlin (Biostat, Minnesota)

Arnoldo Frigessi (Norwegian Computing Centre)

Montserrat Fuentes (North Carolina State)

Jon Wakefield (Washington)

Rasmus Waagepetersen (Aalborg)

Doug Nychka(UCAR)

Analysis of Extremes

Richard Smith

(U. North  Carolina)

S. Coles (Bristol,UK)

Anthony Davison (SFIT, Switzerland)

S. Resnick (Cornell)

Jan Beirlant (Leuven, Belgium)

Holger Rootzen(Chalmers, Sweden)

Luis Pericchi(UPR-RP, Puerto Rico)

Andrea Tancredi(Padova, Italy)

Beatriz Mendes(Rio de Janeiro,Brasil)

2.Final schedule of the 1st IMS-ISBA Joint Meeting

To download the printable version of the schedule, click HERE.



Tuesday, July 22

15:00-19:30: Workshop in Model Selection. (Hotel Intercontinental)






Jim Berger

Foundations of Model Selection


            Coffee        Break


Ed George

Priors for model selection and their evaluation


Wednesday, July 23

09:30-13:00 Workshop in Model Selection. (Hotel Intercontinental)





Merlise Clyde

Search and computation strategies on model selection


            Coffee        Break


Susie Bayarri

Speculative approaches


08:30-12:00 Presentations by the US Bureau of Census. (UPR-Rio Piedras)

Chair: Carlos Toro





Dr. Tommy Wright

Probability Sampling Concepts & Overview at the Census Bureau


Dr. Yves Thibaudeau

Imputation Methods used by the Demographic, Decennial, Economic Areas


Dr. Matthew Christenson

The Official Post-Census 2000 Population Estimates for the Municipios of PR:  The Traditional Demographic Formula in the Context of Regression Estimation Techniques


David Waddington

Small area income and poverty estimates(SAIPE) overview


Dr. William Bell

Bayesian treatment of small area models for SAIPE state estimates



Wrap-up: Question and ansers

14:00-17:00 Introduction to Bayesian Methods. (UPR-Rio Piedras)

Chair: D. Reetz

14:00 - 15:30

Prof  J.M Bernardo

Informacia Bayesiana Objectiva: Ananlisis de Referencia

15:45 - 17:15

Prof  P. Green

MCMC computation for Bayesian analysis





Wednesday, July 23

17:30 每 19:30 Reception (Rector House. UPR-Rio Piedras campus)


Thursday, July 24

Place: Hotel Intercontinental 

09:30 - 10:00 Opening Ceremony

09:30 每 09:45

Dr. Manuel Gomez (Director of  Resources Center, Science and Engineering, UPR)

09:45 每 10:00

Dr. Brad Weiner (Dean of School Natural Sciences)

10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break (C.B)

10:30 - 12:00 Overview Lecture 1

   Chair:   James Berger

Topic:   Causal-Graphical Modeling  

Speaker: Steffen Lauritzen

Title:   Graphical models for causal inference

12:00 - 14:30 Lunch Break

14:30 - 16:00 Overview Lecture 2

   Chair:   Alicia Carriquiry

Topic:   Spatial Statistics

Speaker: Peter Green

Title:   Spatial processes and statistical modeling

16:00 - 16:30 C.B.

16:30 - 18:00 Overview Lecture 3

   Chair:   Elias Moreno

Topic:   Analysis of Extremes

Speaker: Richard Smith

Title:   Statistics of extremes, with applications in environmental science, insurance and finance.

19:00 - 21:00 Dinner  

21:00 - 23:00 Poster Session 

Friday, July 25

Place: Hotel Intercontinental

09:00 - 10:30

Salon 1: Topic: Spatial Statistics

Chair: Peter Green

09:00 每 09:45

Brad Carlin

Covariate-adjusted spatial and spatio-temporal CDF modeling, with application to air pollutant data

09:45 每 10:30

Jon Wakefield

Spatial Modeling and the Ecological Fallacy

Salon 2: Topic: Analysis of extremes

Chair: Richard Smith

09:00 每 09:45

Sidney Resnick

The Extremal Dependence Measure and Asymptotic Independence

09:45 每 10:15

Holger Rootzen

Extreme value models for pitting corrosion

10:30 - 10:45 C.B.

10:45 - 12:15

Salon 1: Topic: Spatial Statistics

Chair: Brad Carlin

10:45 每 11:30

Montserrat Fuentes

Bayesian entropy of spatial design of nonstationary air monitoring networks

11:30 每 12:15

Doug Nychka

A filtering problem for forecasting the weather

Salon 2: Topic: Causal-Graphical Modeling

Chair: Steffen Lauritzen

10:45 每 11:30

Juni Palmgren

Strategies for handling intermediate variables in the causal pathway from exposure to disease

11:30 每 12:15

Joseph Charles Whittaker

Graphical models for components.

12:15 - 15:45 Lunch Break

15:45 - 17:15

Salon 1: Topic: Analysis of extremes

Chair: Sidney Resnick

15:45 每 16:30

Beatriz Mendes

Assessing investment risk

16:30 - 17:15

Jan Beirlant

Extreme value methods in insurance

Salon 2: Topic: Causal-Graphical Modeling

Chair: Juni Palmgreen

15:45 - 16:30

Vanessa Didelez

Graphical models and the causal analysis of longitudinal data

16:30 - 17:15

Michael Eichler

Grange causality and graphical time series model

17:15 - 17:30 C.B.  

17:30 - 19:00

Salon 1: Topic: Analysis of extremes

Chair: Beatriz Mendes

17:30 每 18:15

Andrea Tancredi

Accounting for threshold uncertainty in extreme value theory

18:15 每 19:00

A. C. Davison

A mixture model for multivariate extremes

Salon 2: Topic: Spatial Statistics

Chair: Doug Nychka

17:30 每 18:15

M.J Bayarri

Spatial statistics for validation of complex computer models

18:15 每 19:00

Arnoldo Frigessi

Spatial localization of GSM mobile phones

19:00 - 21:00 Beach Party   

Saturday, July 26

Place: Hotel Intercontinental

09:00 - 10:30

Salon 1: Topic: Causal-Graphical Modeling

Chair: Joseph Whittaker

09:00 每 09:45

Stephen Fienberg

Bayesian Thinking About Causation: Can We Really Measure Discrimination?

09:45 每 10:30

Peter Spirtes

Causal Inference in graphical models

Salon 2: Topic: Analysis of extremes

Chair: A.C. Davison

09:00 每 09:45

Stuart Coles

Modelling Sea-Level Extremes

09:45 每 10:30

Luis Pericchi

A case for a reassessment of the risk of extreme hydrological hazards in the Caribbean

10:30 - 10:45 C.B.  

10:45- 12:15

Salon 1: Topic: Causal-Graphical Modeling

Chair: Peter Spirtes

10:45 每 11:30

Mathis Drton

A New Algorithm for Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Gaussian Graphical Models for Marginal Independence

11:30 每 12:15

Edward Vytlacil

Non parametric instrumental variables

Salon 2: Topic: Spatial Statistics

Chair: Arnoldo Fregessi

10:45 每 11:30

Rasmus Waagepeterson

Bayesian analysis for spatial Poisson-log Gaussian models

11:30 每 12:15

Adrian Baddeley

Diagnostics for Spatial Point Processes

12:15 每 13:45 Lunch break

13:45 每 19:00 Excursion to Barcadi Rum Plant and Old San Juan

19:00 每 21:00 Farewell dinner in Old San Juan (Not included in registration)

(Overview talks are plenary and will be delivered by the organizer of each topic. These will last 1 hour, followed by 30* for floor discussion. Each of the six sessions is a parallel session with two legs. Each individual session has two talks about 35*, followed by 10* for floor discussion. There will be total of eight talks for each topics.)


Sunday, July 27

Satellite Meeting on Bioinformatics and Biostatistics

Hotel Intercontinental, Isla Verde, San Juan, Puerto Rico

Bioinformatics and Biostatistics: Current Problems and Solutions.

A Satellite meeting on Bioinformatics and Biostatistcs will be held on Sunday, July 27 (from 9:00 to 4:30 pm)

The invited talks are:






John Ambrossiano

Los Alamos National Laboratories

The Challenge of Reverse Engineering Dynamical Models in Systems Biology.


Nick Patterson

Whitehead Institute, Massachusets Institute of Technology

Statistical Issues in admixture mapping for disease.


Rafael Irizarry

John Hopkins University

Getting usable data from Microarrays: The role of Statisticians.


Oscar Moreno

University of  Puerto Rico, R赤o Piedras

Reverse Engineering of Genetic Networks Including Clustering and Error Correction.


Manuel G車mez

University of Puerto Rico CRCI

Importance of Bioinformatics in the Biotechnology initiative of the University of Puerto Rico.




Mar赤a Gloria Dom赤nguez

University of Puerto Rico, R赤o Piedras

Phylogenetic Trees: a Biostatystical Approach.


Mar赤a A. Aviñ車

University of Puerto Rico, Cayey

Dynamical Systems over different finite fields.


Luis R. Pericchi

University of  Puerto Rico, R赤o Piedras

On the Applications of Objective Bayesian Model Selection in Statistical Analysis of Gene Expression Data and Phylogenetics.


Jaime Ram赤rez Vick

University of  Puerto Rico, Mayag邦ez

Bioinformatics Management System to Integrate and Federate Heterogeneous Biological Databases.


Humberto Ortiz

University of  Puerto Rico, R赤o Piedras

Gene Regulation Networks in Rat Emotional Learning.


Edusmildo Orozco

University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez

Parallel Algorithmic Approach to the Reverse Engineering Problem.

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